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Saifedean Ammous: The Bond Crisis & Bitcoin’s Rise as a True Macro Asset

Bitcoin Magazine Saifedean Ammous: The Bond Crisis & Bitcoin’s Rise as a True Macro Asset Falling volatility is Bitcoin's most bullish signal right now, according to Saifedean Ammous.

Bitcoin Magazine

Saifedean Ammous: The Bond Crisis & Bitcoin’s Rise as a True Macro Asset

Bitcoin’s volatility is falling, and Saifedean Ammous calls that the most bullish development in Bitcoin right now. Bear-market drawdowns have shrunk from roughly 87% to 77% to about 54% this cycle, which moves Bitcoin closer to an investable asset for money managers. Saifedean explains why the halving still drives the four-year Bitcoin cycle and why fewer people are buying with leverage at the top. He also discusses how markets may eventually arbitrage these cycles away.

Chapters:

0:00 Tether, Bitcoin & the Dollar Milkshake Theory

1:45 How the US Carries $40 Trillion in Debt as the World’s Reserve Currency

4:21 Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs & the Bond Market Bear Case

7:00 War Spending, Iran & the Collapse of Fiscal Hope

9:20 Stablecoins vs Banks & the Hidden Treasury Rollover Risk

15:11 The Longest Hash Rate Bear Market in Bitcoin History

18:47 Why Miners Are Pivoting to AI Data Centers

21:31 The Halving, Bitcoin Cycles & Shrinking Drawdowns

25:56 MicroStrategy, Strive & Bitcoin Treasury Companies

29:07 The Humble Peasant Theory of High Finance

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

ተዛማጅ ዜና

  1. የአፕል ገቢ ቅድመ-እይታ፡ ከማህደረ ትውስታ ዋጋ ጭማሪ በኋላ፣ አፕል ምን ያህል ትርፍ ማቆየት ይችላል?

    አፕል ለዚህ ሩብ ዓመት ከሚያቀርበው ገቢ ከተጠበቀው ጋር በጣም የቀረበ ወይም በትንሹ የሚበልጥ የመሆን ዕድሉ ከፍተኛ ነው፣ ነገር ግን ለሚቀጥለው ሩብ ዓመት የሚሰጠው መመሪያ ገበያውን ላያረካ ይችላል።

  2. የክሪፕቶ ገበያ በትንሹ አገግሟል፣ የCeFi ዘርፍ በመጠኑ አድጓል፣ የAI ዘርፍ ደግሞ መመለሱን ቀጥሏል።

  3. ትንተና፡ ያለፉት የቢትኮይን ዑደት ታችኛው ደረጃዎች ሁሉ ከአሜሪካ የመካከለኛ ዘመን ምርጫዎች በኋላ በአጭር ጊዜ ውስጥ ተከስተዋል፤ በዚህ ዓመት መጨረሻ እስከ ቀጣዩ ዓመት መጀመሪያ ድረስ የታችኛው ደረጃ መስኮት ሊሆን ይችላል።

  4. በድብ ገበያ ውስጥ በእውነት ገንዘብ የሚያስገኙትን 5 ዋና የክሪፕቶ ቶከኖች መገምገም።

    ገቢ አስፈላጊ ነው፣ ነገር ግን በመጨረሻ ያንን ገቢ የሚያስቀምጠው ማን እንደሆነ የበለጠ አስፈላጊ ነው።

  5. የጋላክሲ ምርምር ዳይሬክተር፡ ቢትኮይን ከ50 ሳምንት ተንቀሳቃሽ አማካዩ በላይ ለ7ኛው ተከታታይ ሳምንት ዘግቷል።